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03486nam a2200241 a 4500 |
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20171111230025.0 |
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150128s2016 maua b 001 0 eng c |
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|a 9781111823610
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|a OKS
|b eng
|e rda
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| 050 |
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|a HD30.25
|b .A53 2016
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| 082 |
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4 |
|2 23
|a 658.4033
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| 100 |
1 |
4 |
|a Anderson, David R.
|d 1941-
|q (David Ray),
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| 245 |
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3 |
|a An introduction to management science :
|b quantitative approaches to decision making /
|c David R. Anderson, University of Cincinnati [and six others].
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| 250 |
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|a Fourteenth edition.
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| 300 |
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|a xxvii, 877 pages :
|b illustrations (chiefly color) ;
|c 26 cm
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| 504 |
1 |
3 |
|a Includes bibliographical references and index.
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| 505 |
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3 |
|a Contents note continued: 13.3.Decision Making with Probabilities -- Expected Value of Perfect Information -- 13.4.Risk Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis -- Risk Analysis -- Sensitivity Analysis -- 13.5.Decision Analysis with Sample Information -- Influence Diagram -- Decision Tree -- Decision Strategy -- Risk Profile -- Expected Value of Sample Information -- Efficiency of Sample Information -- 13.6.Computing Branch Probabilities with Bayes' Theorem -- 13.7.Utility Theory -- Utility and Decision Analysis -- Utility Functions -- Exponential Utility Function -- Summary -- Glossary -- Problems -- Case Problem 1 Property Purchase Strategy -- Case Problem 2 Lawsuit Defense Strategy -- Appendix 13.1 Using Analytic Solver Platform to Create Decision Trees -- Appendix 13.2 Decision Analysis with TreePlan -- 14.1.Goal Programming: Formulation and Graphical Solution -- Developing the Constraints and the Goal Equations -- Developing an Objective Function with Preemptive Priorities -- Graphical Solution Procedure -- Goal Programming Model -- 14.2.Goal Programming: Solving More Complex Problems -- Suncoast Office Supplies Problem -- Formulating the Goal Equations -- Formulating the Objective Function -- Computer Solution -- 14.3.Scoring Models -- 14.4.Analytic Hierarchy Process -- Developing the Hierarchy -- 14.5.Establishing Priorities Using AHP -- Pairwise Comparisons -- Pairwise Comparison Matrix -- Synthesization -- Consistency -- Other Pairwise Comparisons for the Car Selection Problem -- 14.6.Using AHP to Develop an Overall Priority Ranking -- Summary -- Glossary -- Problems -- Case Problem 1 EZ Trailers, Inc. -- Appendix 14.1 Scoring Models With Excel -- 15.1.Time Series Patterns -- Horizontal Pattern -- Trend Pattern -- Seasonal Pattern -- Trend and Seasonal Pattern -- Cyclical Pattern -- Selecting a Forecasting Method -- 15.2.Forecast Accuracy -- 15.3.Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing -- Moving Averages -- Weighted Moving Averages -- Exponential Smoothing -- 15.4.Linear Trend Projection -- 15.5.Seasonality -- Seasonality Without Trend -- Seasonality with Trend -- Models Based on Monthly Data -- Summary -- Glossary -- Problems -- Case Problem 1 Forecasting Food and Beverage Sales -- Case Problem 2 Forecasting Lost Sales -- Appendix 15.1 Forecasting with Excel Data Analysis Tools -- Appendix A Building Spreadsheet Models -- Appendix B Areas for the Standard Normal Distribution -- Appendix C Values of e-λ -- Appendix D References and Bibliography -- Appendix E Self-Test Solutions and Answers to Even-Numbered Problems.
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| 650 |
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3 |
|a Management science.
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| 650 |
1 |
3 |
|a Management science
|x Mathematical models.
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| 650 |
1 |
3 |
|a Management science
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| 650 |
1 |
3 |
|a Management science.
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| 952 |
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|a GrThPMO
|b 59b01e5e6c5ad17d7e5afc84
|c 952a
|d 9528
|e HD30.25.A53 2016
|t 21
|x m
|z Books
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